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Voyagers Beyond

Uncertainty & Agency

How do I adapt when the target keeps moving?

Every piece of advice says adapt. Almost none of it says to what. When the thing you would adapt to changes every few months, adaptation as a strategy needs a different definition.

A first orientation

Adapting to a prediction is fragile, because the prediction is the part most likely to be wrong. Adapting to a durable feature of the situation is sturdier. One durable feature: the parts of your experience that involve judgment and responsibility keep needing a place to live, whatever the tools do.

The Second Door Plan is one structured way to look for that place. It does not tell you where the target will be. It gives you something to test now.